Will it rain tomorrow in Rugby?

no rain expected. Rain: 0.0 mm. Low 6 °C, High 12 °C.

What will the weather be like at the weekend in Rugby?

Sat 17/10: partly cloudy, 6 °C / 12 °C, no rain expected.

How far ahead does this Rugby forecast go?

This page shows 7 days. The model run used here is from 15/10/2026, 23:18 UTC, and the page fetches a new one every 30 minutes.

Rugby weather

Temperature, rain and wind in Rugby (England, United Kingdom), a city of about 78,117 people: how it is right now, hour by hour into tomorrow, the next 7 days and what each month of the year is like.

Right now

Friday 16 October, 02:00 (Europe/London)

14 °C

Light rain

Feels like

13 °C

Humidity

97%

Wind

15 km/h

WNW · Beaufort 3

Dew point

14 °C

Cloud cover

100%

Pressure

1,017 hPa

Hour by hour

Next 24 hours, in the city’s local time.

Time	Conditions	Temperature	Rain	Wind
01:00	Rain	14 °C	0.9 mm	16 km/h
02:00	Light rain	14 °C	0.2 mm	15 km/h
03:00	Rain	12 °C	0.3 mm	15 km/h
04:00	Light rain	12 °C	0.2 mm	15 km/h
05:00	Cloudy	11 °C	0.0 mm	15 km/h
06:00	Partly cloudy	11 °C	0.0 mm	14 km/h
07:00	Fair	10 °C	0.0 mm	15 km/h
08:00	Partly cloudy	9 °C	0.0 mm	13 km/h
09:00	Clear sky	10 °C	0.0 mm	15 km/h
10:00	Clear sky	11 °C	0.0 mm	17 km/h
11:00	Fair	12 °C	0.0 mm	19 km/h
12:00	Clear sky	13 °C	0.0 mm	18 km/h
13:00	Fair	13 °C	0.0 mm	19 km/h
14:00	Fair	13 °C	0.0 mm	19 km/h
15:00	Clear sky	13 °C	0.0 mm	21 km/h
16:00	Clear sky	13 °C	0.0 mm	20 km/h
17:00	Clear sky	12 °C	0.0 mm	18 km/h
18:00	Clear sky	10 °C	0.0 mm	16 km/h
19:00	Clear sky	10 °C	0.0 mm	16 km/h
20:00	Clear sky	9 °C	0.0 mm	15 km/h
21:00	Clear sky	9 °C	0.0 mm	14 km/h
22:00	Clear sky	8 °C	0.0 mm	14 km/h
23:00	Clear sky	8 °C	0.0 mm	12 km/h
00:00	Clear sky	7 °C	0.0 mm	11 km/h

Next 7 days

Day	Conditions	Low	High	Rain outlook
Fri 16/10	Clear sky	6 °C	14 °C	rain unlikely · 1.6 mm
Sat 17/10	Partly cloudy	6 °C	12 °C	no rain expected · 0.0 mm
Mon 19/10	Cloudy	8 °C	13 °C	rain likely · 7.7 mm
Tue 20/10	Rain	8 °C	12 °C	rain likely · 9.0 mm
Wed 21/10	Heavy rain	6 °C	12 °C	rain likely · 8.9 mm
Thu 22/10	Clear sky	5 °C	14 °C	no rain expected · 0.0 mm
Fri 23/10	Cloudy	9 °C	14 °C	rain possible · 2.7 mm

This column is our own reading: the global model does not publish a probability of precipitation for this region, so we classify the day from the forecast symbol and the total in millimetres. It is not an official probability figure.

Our own chart, drawn from the 7-day forecast for Rugby shown above.

What each number means

Rain (mm): 1 millimetre of rain is 1 litre of water per square metre. Up to 2 mm in a day is drizzle; from 10 mm it is proper rain; more than 50 mm in a few hours is the amount that floods streets.
Humidity: Relative humidity is how much water vapour the air holds compared with the most it can hold at that temperature. Above 80% sweat evaporates slowly and heat feels worse; below 30% your throat and eyes dry out.
Dew point: The dew point is the temperature at which the air would start to condense. The closer it is to the air temperature, the muggier it feels. Above 20 °C the air already feels heavy.
Feels like: "Feels like" combines temperature, wind and humidity: strong wind carries heat away from the body, so it feels colder than the thermometer; high humidity in the heat makes it feel warmer.
Wind: Wind is given as a speed and the direction it blows from. Up to 20 km/h you barely notice it; at 40 km/h it moves branches and parasols; above 60 km/h it brings down trees and roof tiles.
Cloud cover: Cloud cover as a percentage is how much of the sky is covered. Up to 20% is a clear sky; above 80% the sun barely gets through.
Chance of rain: The model does not publish a probability of precipitation for this region. This column is our own reading: the global model does not publish a probability of precipitation for this region, so we classify the day from the forecast symbol and the total in millimetres. It is not an official probability figure.

Month-by-month climate

In October, Rugby averages 10 °C and about 76 mm of rain over the month, on the 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025) climatology.

Warmest month

July

Coldest month

January

Wettest month

October

Driest month

April

Month	Mean temperature	Rain	Mean humidity
January	4 °C	63 mm	94%
February	4 °C	52 mm	91%
March	6 °C	51 mm	87%
April	8 °C	46 mm	83%
May	12 °C	60 mm	81%
June	15 °C	66 mm	80%
July	17 °C	72 mm	80%
August	16 °C	73 mm	81%
September	14 °C	51 mm	84%
October	10 °C	76 mm	89%
November	7 °C	70 mm	94%
December	4 °C	68 mm	95%

Our own chart, from the NASA POWER 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025) climatology for the coordinates of Rugby.

Frequently asked questions

Will it rain tomorrow in Rugby?: no rain expected. Rain: 0.0 mm. Low 6 °C, High 12 °C.
What is the temperature in Rugby right now?: 14 °C, light rain. Feels like: 13 °C. Humidity: 97%.
What will the weather be like at the weekend in Rugby?: Sat 17/10: partly cloudy, 6 °C / 12 °C, no rain expected.
Which is the wettest month in Rugby?: October — ~76 mm (25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025), NASA POWER).
How far ahead does this Rugby forecast go?: This page shows 7 days. The model run used here is from 15/10/2026, 23:18 UTC, and the page fetches a new one every 30 minutes.

Nearby cities

Forecasts for places near Rugby:

How to read this page

How to read the min and the max

The week’s high (14 °C) arrives in the afternoon, about two hours after solar noon; the low (5 °C) just before sunrise. Both are air temperature in the shade, two metres above ground — in direct sun or over asphalt a thermometer reads higher.

Where this number comes from

The Rugby forecast comes from MET Norway, a partir do ECMWF HRES e, na área nórdica, do MEPS, run of 15/10/2026, 23:18 UTC. The month-by-month climate comes from NASA POWER, climatology of 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025). Both are credited in full at the foot of this page.

What a forecast cannot promise

Out to two days accuracy is high; by day seven the trend matters more than the exact figure. For Rugby the model publishes no rain probability, so the expectation column is our reading.

Severe weather warnings

This page is informational. For official warnings of storms, gales or flooding affecting Rugby, go to your national weather service through the World Meteorological Organization warning portal.

WMO Severe Weather Information Centre

Understanding the weather and climate of Rugby

Is this week in Rugby above or below the October normal?

The average of the next 7 days in Rugby works out at 10 °C, against a normal of 10 °C for October over 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025). The gap is under one degree, so the week sits squarely inside what the season normally brings.

Within the week the highest maximum lands on Fri 16/10 (14 °C) and the lowest minimum on Thu 22/10 (5 °C). Forecast rain adds up to 30 mm, roughly 39% of everything Rugby gets in an average October (76 mm). The wettest day is Tue 20/10, with 9.0 mm.

When is the wettest and the driest month in Rugby?

On the 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025) climatology, the wettest month in Rugby is October, at about 76 mm, and the driest is April, at 46 mm. The two extremes differ by only 1.7 times, which means rain is spread fairly evenly across the year in Rugby. For October, the month you are reading this in, the average is 76 mm.

What does the dew point say about how Rugby feels?

Right now in Rugby the air is at 14 °C with a dew point of 14 °C and relative humidity of 97%. The two sit within a few tenths of each other: the air is all but saturated, which favours fog, dew on the car and laundry that will not dry.

What is the climate of Rugby like through the year?

The warmest month in Rugby is July (17 °C on average) and the coldest is January (4 °C), a swing of about 13 °C around an annual mean of 10 °C. A swing of this size means a genuinely temperate climate: summer and winter call for different clothes, different housing and different habits.

Because Rugby lies in the northern hemisphere, at 52.37° north, summer falls in June, July and August, in the middle of the calendar.

How far is Rugby from Coventry?

The nearest large city to Rugby is Coventry, about 17 km away in a straight line, to the west, with 345,324 inhabitants. In that band the temperature of the two rarely differs by more than a degree or two, but a summer downpour can hit one and miss the other: heat showers are only a few kilometres wide. Being larger, Coventry shows up in more searches, and plenty of people end up reading its forecast assuming it covers Rugby.

Words on this page

Apparent temperature

The temperature the body actually feels, rather than the one on the thermometer. It combines air temperature with wind, which carries heat away faster, and humidity, which slows the evaporation of sweat. That is why 30 °C in dry air with a breeze is easier than 28 °C in still, muggy air.

Apparent temperature

Dew point

The temperature air would have to cool to, at constant pressure and moisture, for water to start condensing. The closer the dew point sits to the air temperature, the less room the vapour has and the muggier the day feels.

Dew point

Millimetre of rain

The depth of water rain would leave on a flat surface with no run-off. One millimetre is one litre per square metre, no matter how large the area measured is.

Standard definition by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) · Millimetre of rain

Relative humidity

How much water vapour the air holds compared with the most it could hold at that temperature, as a percentage. Because that ceiling rises with heat, the same amount of vapour reads high at dawn and low in the afternoon.

Relative humidity

Climate normal

The average of a climate element — temperature, rainfall, humidity — computed over a long, standardised period, usually thirty years. It does not predict anything: it says what is typical for that place in that month, and gives you a ruler for calling a week warm or wet.

Standard definition by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) · Climate normal

Forecast model

A program that solves the equations of the atmosphere on a grid of points and steps forward in time from the state observed now. Your city forecast is the model value at the nearest grid point, which is why two neighbouring towns get almost the same numbers.

Standard definition by MET Norway (Meteorologisk institutt) · Forecast model

Model run

The time the model was executed with the latest observations. Every forecast belongs to a run, and runs age: one from six hours ago knows nothing about the shower that started afterwards. It is the first thing to check when two sources disagree.

Standard definition by MET Norway (Meteorologisk institutt) · Model run

See the full weather glossary

Source, model and licence

Model: MET Norway, a partir do ECMWF HRES e, na área nórdica, do MEPS
Model run: 15/10/2026, 23:18 UTC
Source: MET Norway (Meteorologisk institutt) — Locationforecast 2.0 — Based on data from MET Norway. Licence: CC BY 4.0 / NLOD 2.0.
Month-by-month climate: NASA POWER — Climatology (MERRA-2, 2001–2020) — The data was obtained from National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Langley Research Center's Prediction Of Worldwide Energy Resources (POWER) project — Climatology API v2. Dados públicos da NASA, citação obrigatória.
Cities, coordinates and population: Dados de cidades: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)

The page fetches fresh data every 30 minutes. Informational content. For severe weather warnings, follow your country’s official weather service and civil protection authority.