Will it rain tomorrow in Armidale?

rain unlikely. Rain: 1.1 mm. Low 8 °C, High 14 °C.

What will the weather be like at the weekend in Armidale?

Sat 17/10: cloudy, 8 °C / 14 °C, rain unlikely. Sun 18/10: partly cloudy, 7 °C / 16 °C, rain possible.

How far ahead does this Armidale forecast go?

This page shows 7 days. The model run used here is from 16/10/2026, 01:17 UTC, and the page fetches a new one every 30 minutes.

Armidale weather

Temperature, rain and wind in Armidale (New South Wales, Australia), a city of about 21,312 people: how it is right now, hour by hour into tomorrow, the next 7 days and what each month of the year is like.

This page is not in Google’s index: the city is small, or it gets the same forecast as a large city next to it.

Right now

Friday 16 October, 15:00 (Australia/Sydney)

13 °C

Light rain showers

Feels like

11 °C

Humidity

68%

Wind

21 km/h

E · Beaufort 4

Dew point

7 °C

Cloud cover

70%

Pressure

1,026 hPa

Hour by hour

Next 24 hours, in the city’s local time.

Time	Conditions	Temperature	Rain	Wind
15:00	Light rain showers	13 °C	0.1 mm	21 km/h
16:00	Partly cloudy	12 °C	0.0 mm	22 km/h
17:00	Partly cloudy	12 °C	0.0 mm	22 km/h
18:00	Partly cloudy	11 °C	0.0 mm	21 km/h
19:00	Fair	10 °C	0.0 mm	20 km/h
20:00	Partly cloudy	9 °C	0.0 mm	19 km/h
21:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	20 km/h
22:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	19 km/h
23:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	19 km/h
00:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	20 km/h
01:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	21 km/h
02:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	23 km/h
03:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	22 km/h
04:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	21 km/h
05:00	Cloudy	8 °C	0.0 mm	20 km/h
06:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	19 km/h
07:00	Fog	8 °C	0.0 mm	22 km/h
08:00	Cloudy	9 °C	0.0 mm	22 km/h
09:00	Cloudy	11 °C	0.0 mm	24 km/h
10:00	Cloudy	12 °C	0.0 mm	26 km/h
11:00	Cloudy	13 °C	0.0 mm	26 km/h
12:00	Cloudy	14 °C	0.0 mm	25 km/h
13:00	Light rain showers	14 °C	0.2 mm	22 km/h
14:00	Rain	14 °C	0.4 mm	21 km/h

Next 7 days

Day	Conditions	Low	High	Rain outlook
Fri 16/10	Light rain showers	8 °C	13 °C	rain unlikely · 0.1 mm
Sat 17/10	Cloudy	8 °C	14 °C	rain unlikely · 1.1 mm
Sun 18/10	Partly cloudy	7 °C	16 °C	rain possible · 5.9 mm
Tue 20/10	Rain showers	9 °C	18 °C	rain likely · 5.2 mm
Wed 21/10	Rain	11 °C	19 °C	rain likely · 11 mm
Thu 22/10	Light rain showers	9 °C	18 °C	rain likely · 2.2 mm
Fri 23/10	Partly cloudy	8 °C	20 °C	rain possible · 2.1 mm

This column is our own reading: the global model does not publish a probability of precipitation for this region, so we classify the day from the forecast symbol and the total in millimetres. It is not an official probability figure.

Our own chart, drawn from the 7-day forecast for Armidale shown above.

What each number means

Rain (mm): 1 millimetre of rain is 1 litre of water per square metre. Up to 2 mm in a day is drizzle; from 10 mm it is proper rain; more than 50 mm in a few hours is the amount that floods streets.
Humidity: Relative humidity is how much water vapour the air holds compared with the most it can hold at that temperature. Above 80% sweat evaporates slowly and heat feels worse; below 30% your throat and eyes dry out.
Dew point: The dew point is the temperature at which the air would start to condense. The closer it is to the air temperature, the muggier it feels. Above 20 °C the air already feels heavy.
Feels like: "Feels like" combines temperature, wind and humidity: strong wind carries heat away from the body, so it feels colder than the thermometer; high humidity in the heat makes it feel warmer.
Wind: Wind is given as a speed and the direction it blows from. Up to 20 km/h you barely notice it; at 40 km/h it moves branches and parasols; above 60 km/h it brings down trees and roof tiles.
Cloud cover: Cloud cover as a percentage is how much of the sky is covered. Up to 20% is a clear sky; above 80% the sun barely gets through.
Chance of rain: The model does not publish a probability of precipitation for this region. This column is our own reading: the global model does not publish a probability of precipitation for this region, so we classify the day from the forecast symbol and the total in millimetres. It is not an official probability figure.

Month-by-month climate

In October, Armidale averages 15 °C and about 74 mm of rain over the month, on the 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025) climatology.

Warmest month

January

Coldest month

July

Wettest month

February

Driest month

July

Month	Mean temperature	Rain	Mean humidity
January	21 °C	117 mm	67%
February	20 °C	118 mm	73%
March	17 °C	102 mm	76%
April	14 °C	47 mm	77%
May	10 °C	41 mm	76%
June	8 °C	59 mm	82%
July	7 °C	31 mm	79%
August	8 °C	45 mm	72%
September	12 °C	42 mm	66%
October	15 °C	74 mm	64%
November	18 °C	98 mm	65%
December	19 °C	109 mm	66%

Our own chart, from the NASA POWER 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025) climatology for the coordinates of Armidale.

Frequently asked questions

Will it rain tomorrow in Armidale?: rain unlikely. Rain: 1.1 mm. Low 8 °C, High 14 °C.
What is the temperature in Armidale right now?: 13 °C, light rain showers. Feels like: 11 °C. Humidity: 68%.
What will the weather be like at the weekend in Armidale?: Sat 17/10: cloudy, 8 °C / 14 °C, rain unlikely. Sun 18/10: partly cloudy, 7 °C / 16 °C, rain possible.
Which is the wettest month in Armidale?: February — ~118 mm (25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025), NASA POWER).
How far ahead does this Armidale forecast go?: This page shows 7 days. The model run used here is from 16/10/2026, 01:17 UTC, and the page fetches a new one every 30 minutes.

Nearby cities

Forecasts for places near Armidale:

How to read this page

How to read the min and the max

The week’s high (20 °C) arrives in the afternoon, about two hours after solar noon; the low (7 °C) just before sunrise. Both are air temperature in the shade, two metres above ground — in direct sun or over asphalt a thermometer reads higher.

Where this number comes from

The Armidale forecast comes from MET Norway, a partir do ECMWF HRES e, na área nórdica, do MEPS, run of 16/10/2026, 01:17 UTC. The month-by-month climate comes from NASA POWER, climatology of 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025). Both are credited in full at the foot of this page.

What a forecast cannot promise

Out to two days accuracy is high; by day seven the trend matters more than the exact figure. For Armidale the model publishes no rain probability, so the expectation column is our reading.

Severe weather warnings

This page is informational. For official warnings of storms, gales or flooding affecting Armidale, go to your national weather service through the World Meteorological Organization warning portal.

WMO Severe Weather Information Centre

Understanding the weather and climate of Armidale

Is this week in Armidale above or below the October normal?

The average of the next 7 days in Armidale works out at 13 °C, against a normal of 15 °C for October over 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025). That is 2 °C below typical, a modest gap and well within week-to-week variation.

Within the week the highest maximum lands on Fri 23/10 (20 °C) and the lowest minimum on Sun 18/10 (7 °C). Forecast rain adds up to 28 mm, roughly 38% of everything Armidale gets in an average October (74 mm). The wettest day is Wed 21/10, with 11 mm.

When is the wettest and the driest month in Armidale?

On the 25-year Meteorological and Solar Monthly & Annual Climatologies (January 2001 - December 2025) climatology, the wettest month in Armidale is February, at about 118 mm, and the driest is July, at 31 mm. February takes 3.8 times more than July, so rain in Armidale has a real season even though it never stops altogether. For October, the month you are reading this in, the average is 74 mm.

What does the dew point say about how Armidale feels?

Right now in Armidale the air is at 13 °C with a dew point of 7 °C and relative humidity of 68%. That distance between temperature and dew point is the comfortable band: the body can cool itself by evaporation without effort.

What is the climate of Armidale like through the year?

The warmest month in Armidale is January (21 °C on average) and the coldest is July (7 °C), a swing of about 14 °C around an annual mean of 14 °C. A swing of this size means a genuinely temperate climate: summer and winter call for different clothes, different housing and different habits.

Because Armidale lies in the southern hemisphere, at 30.50° south, summer falls in December, January and February — which is why the warmest month shows up at either end of the calendar.

How far is Armidale from Newcastle?

The nearest large city to Armidale is Newcastle, about 270 km away in a straight line, to the south, with 508,437 inhabitants. With more than two hundred kilometres between them, using the Newcastle forecast for Armidale is a common mistake: these are weather regimes that can diverge for days. Being larger, Newcastle shows up in more searches, and plenty of people end up reading its forecast assuming it covers Armidale.

Words on this page

Apparent temperature

The temperature the body actually feels, rather than the one on the thermometer. It combines air temperature with wind, which carries heat away faster, and humidity, which slows the evaporation of sweat. That is why 30 °C in dry air with a breeze is easier than 28 °C in still, muggy air.

Apparent temperature

Dew point

The temperature air would have to cool to, at constant pressure and moisture, for water to start condensing. The closer the dew point sits to the air temperature, the less room the vapour has and the muggier the day feels.

Dew point

Millimetre of rain

The depth of water rain would leave on a flat surface with no run-off. One millimetre is one litre per square metre, no matter how large the area measured is.

Standard definition by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) · Millimetre of rain

Climate normal

The average of a climate element — temperature, rainfall, humidity — computed over a long, standardised period, usually thirty years. It does not predict anything: it says what is typical for that place in that month, and gives you a ruler for calling a week warm or wet.

Standard definition by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) · Climate normal

Forecast model

A program that solves the equations of the atmosphere on a grid of points and steps forward in time from the state observed now. Your city forecast is the model value at the nearest grid point, which is why two neighbouring towns get almost the same numbers.

Standard definition by MET Norway (Meteorologisk institutt) · Forecast model

Model run

The time the model was executed with the latest observations. Every forecast belongs to a run, and runs age: one from six hours ago knows nothing about the shower that started afterwards. It is the first thing to check when two sources disagree.

Standard definition by MET Norway (Meteorologisk institutt) · Model run

See the full weather glossary

Source, model and licence

Model: MET Norway, a partir do ECMWF HRES e, na área nórdica, do MEPS
Model run: 16/10/2026, 01:17 UTC
Source: MET Norway (Meteorologisk institutt) — Locationforecast 2.0 — Based on data from MET Norway. Licence: CC BY 4.0 / NLOD 2.0.
Month-by-month climate: NASA POWER — Climatology (MERRA-2, 2001–2020) — The data was obtained from National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Langley Research Center's Prediction Of Worldwide Energy Resources (POWER) project — Climatology API v2. Dados públicos da NASA, citação obrigatória.
Cities, coordinates and population: Dados de cidades: GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)

The page fetches fresh data every 30 minutes. Informational content. For severe weather warnings, follow your country’s official weather service and civil protection authority.